Our Track Record

We ran money. Now we share our edge. Here's the proof.

Backtested 2019-01 – 2025-12

Historical Performance

Our signal methodology backtested on 6 years of market data. Same logic we use today.

62%
Overall Accuracy
vs 50% random
1,452
Total Signals
7 years of data
68%
Best Year
2021 (bull run)
56%
Worst Year
2022 (bear market)

Year-by-Year Performance

60%
2019
n=180
66%
2020
n=215
68%
2021
n=224
56%
2022
n=218
64%
2023
n=210
63%
2024
n=200
64%
2025
n=205

Accuracy by Asset Class

Crypto
727 signals
66%
$
Forex
363 signals
58%
Stocks
362 signals
61%

Backtested Results: Backtested using historical price data from 2019-2025. Results do not include transaction costs, slippage, or execution timing differences. Crypto accuracy is higher due to 24/7 markets and clearer trend signals. Bear markets (2022) show reduced accuracy as expected. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The Story Behind the Numbers

We traded crypto with real money for 5 years. Our portfolio doubled every 2 years on average—through bull runs, crashes, and everything in between. The backtest above uses the exact same methodology we used (and still use) for live trading.

2x
Every 2 Years
Real money returns
5
Years Live Trading
2019 – 2024
3
Checks Per Signal
Price + Volume + Sentiment
Live

Live Signal Validation

We're tracking our live signals against actual market movements. Here's how we're doing since launch. 58 signals verified so far. Statistical significance requires ~100 signals per category.

79
Total Signals Generated
64%
30-Day Accuracy
vs 50% random baseline
7
Signals Today
68%
19 / 28 correct (n=28)
⚠ Small sample—needs 30+ for statistical significance
63%
Bullish
73%
Neutral
100%
Bearish
59%
10 / 17 correct (n=17)
⚠ Small sample—needs 30+ for statistical significance
50%
Bullish
64%
Neutral
0%
Bearish
62%
8 / 13 correct (n=13)
⚠ Small sample—needs 30+ for statistical significance
67%
Bullish
60%
Neutral
0%
Bearish

Recent Outcomes

Crypto Neutral
2026-01-22 • -0.05%
Correct
Crypto Neutral
2026-01-22 • +0.16%
Correct
Crypto Neutral
2026-01-22 • -0.42%
Correct
Crypto Neutral
2026-01-22 • +0.21%
Correct
Crypto Bullish
2026-01-22 • +1.14%
Correct
Forex Bullish
2026-01-22 • +0.31%
Correct
Forex Bullish
2026-01-22 • -0.29%
Incorrect
Forex Neutral
2026-01-22 • -0.05%
Correct
Stocks Bullish
2026-01-22 • +0.75%
Correct
Stocks Bullish
2026-01-22 • -0.69%
Incorrect
Crypto Bullish
2026-01-21 • -0.95%
Incorrect
Crypto Neutral
2026-01-20 • -0.05%
Correct
Crypto Neutral
2026-01-20 • +0.9%
Incorrect
Crypto Neutral
2026-01-20 • +0.21%
Correct
Forex Neutral
2026-01-20 • -0.55%
Incorrect

Methodology & Caveats

How We Measure Accuracy

Signals are verified against next-day price movements. Bullish signals are marked correct if price rises, bearish if it falls. Neutral signals are considered correct if price moves less than 0.5%.

Backtest vs Live

Backtested results apply our current methodology to historical data (2019-2024). Live validation tracks actual signals generated since launch. Backtests are inherently optimistic—live performance is the true test.

Important Limitations

  • Not Trading Returns: Accuracy measures directional prediction only, not actual P&L
  • No Transaction Costs: Real trading involves spreads, fees, slippage, and timing
  • Backtest Bias: Historical tests can overfit; live results may differ
  • Market Conditions: Performance varies significantly in different regimes
  • Sample Size: Statistical significance requires hundreds of signals

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. These metrics are for informational purposes only and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Read full disclaimer →

Good signals aren't enough.

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You've had the right call before—but did you understand why? VIP gives you the full context behind every trade, so you can make informed decisions:

  • Whale Alerts — See when big money loads up—options flow & on-chain data in plain English
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